Life Days Left combines a fixed income-linked age-at-death baseline, a birth-year cohort adjustment, and exact calendar days lived. Every displayed value follows the same rule.
Model 2026 · SSA 2026Updated Daily cutoff: UTC−04:00
Inputs
What enters the model
01
Income-linked baseline
Chetty et al.’s national, race- and ethnicity-adjusted expected age at death at age 40 for the 75th household-income percentile. The model takes an equal arithmetic mean of the published male and female values.
85.0786285 years
02
Birth-cohort shift
SSA 2026 Trustees Report Table V.A5 Intermediate cohort life expectancy at birth. Male and female values are averaged for each birth year, then expressed relative to 1967.
1967 reference: 78.3 years
03
Calendar time
The model converts the estimated age to days using the mean tropical year and subtracts exact UTC calendar days between a birth date and the daily UTC−04:00 as-of date.
365.2425 days per year
Calculation
The equations
1 · estimated age at death85.0786285 + [SSA cohort e0(birth year) − 78.3]
2 · modeled lifetime daysestimated age at death × 365.2425
3 · days leftround(modeled lifetime days − calendar days lived)
4 · percentage leftround(days left ÷ modeled lifetime days × 100)
For a 1967 birth year, the cohort-shift bracket is zero, so the estimated age equals the Chetty baseline before elapsed calendar days are subtracted. This is a reference case, not a prediction for every person born in 1967.
Chart construction
Generation bands and markers
The chart uses Boomers (1946–1964), Gen X (1965–1980), Millennials (1981–1996), Gen Z (1997–2012), and Alpha (2013 onward). These match the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2025 birth-cohort bands; Pew provides additional documentation for the Millennial and Gen Z boundary.
Each gold range connects the modeled percentage for the oldest and youngest boundary date. Alpha’s youngest boundary is the as-of date because the cohort is open. The white point uses one stable representative birth date near the center of each band. It is a chart reference, not a population-weighted median.
It is not a survival curve, confidence interval, death date, or probability that a person will live to a particular age.
It does not use personal health, sex, current income, location, family history, behavior, access to care, or chance events.
The age-40 Chetty baseline and SSA at-birth cohort shift describe different source populations and starting ages. Their combination is an illustrative hybrid, not a standard actuarial life table.
The model fixes the 75th household-income percentile and equally averages male and female source values. It does not estimate an overall population average.
It does not recondition the estimate on survival to a viewer’s current age. SSA projections and source revisions can change future model versions.
Generation boundaries are conventions for display and do not create causal differences between people near a cutoff.
Illustrative population estimate only. It is not personal, medical, actuarial, insurance, or financial advice.